Can Lenders Discern Managerial Ability from Luck? Evidence from Bank Loan Contracts
Dien Giau Bui, Yan-Shing Chen, Iftekhar Hasan, Chih-Yung Lin
Journal of Banking and Finance,
2018
Abstract
We investigate the effect of managerial ability versus luck on bank loan contracting. Borrowers showing a persistently superior managerial ability over previous years (more likely due to ability) enjoy a lower loan spread, while borrowers showing a temporary superior managerial ability (more likely due to luck) do not enjoy any spread reduction. This finding suggests that banks can discern ability from luck when pricing a loan. Firms with high-ability managers are more likely to continue their prior lower loan spread. The spread-reduction effect of managerial ability is stronger for firms with weak governance structures or poor stakeholder relationships, corroborating the notion that better managerial ability alleviates borrowers’ agency and information risks. We also find that well governed banks are better able to price governance into their borrowers’ loans, which helps explain why good governance enhances bank value.
Read article
Multidimensional Well-being and Regional Disparities in Europe
Jörg Döpke, Andreas Knabe, Cornelia Lang, Philip Maschke
Journal of Common Market Studies,
No. 5,
2017
Abstract
Using data from the OECD Regional Well-Being Index – a set of quality-of-life indicators measured at the sub-national level – we construct a set of composite well-being indices. We analyze the extent to which the choice of five alternative aggregation methods affects the well-being ranking of regions. We find that regional inequality in these composite measures is lower than regional inequality in real GDP per capita. For most aggregation methods, the rank correlation across regions appears to be quite high. It is also shown that using alternative indices instead of GDP per capita would only have a small effect on the set of regions eligible for aid from EU Structural Funds. The exception appears to be an aggregation based on how individual dimensions relate to average life satisfaction across regions, which would substantially change both the ranking of regions and which regions would be eligible for EU funds.
Read article
Non-linearity in the Finance-Growth Nexus: Evidence from Indonesia
Nuruzzaman Arsyad, Iftekhar Hasan, Wahyoe Soedarmono
International Economics,
August
2017
Abstract
This paper investigates the finance-growth nexus where bank credit is decomposed into investment, consumption, and working capital credit. From a panel dataset of provinces in Indonesia, it documents that higher financial development measured by financial deepening and financial intermediation exhibits an inverted U-shaped relationship with economic growth. This non-linear effect of financial deepening is driven by both investment credit and consumption credit. These results suggest that too much investment credit and, to a lesser extent, consumption credit are detrimental to economic growth. Ultimately, only financial intermediation associated with working capital credit has a positive and monotonic impact on economic growth.
Read article
Dienstleistungssektor bestimmt Dynamik beim Arbeitsvolumen
Hans-Ulrich Brautzsch
Wirtschaftsdienst,
No. 7,
2017
Abstract
Read article
Mapping Potentials for Input-Output Based Innovation Flows in Industrial Clusters – An Application to Germany
Matthias Brachert, Hans-Ulrich Brautzsch, Mirko Titze
Economic Systems Research,
No. 4,
2016
Abstract
Our paper pursues two aims: first, it presents an approach based on input–output innovation flow matrices to study intersectoral innovation flows within industrial clusters. Second, we apply this approach to the identification of structural weaknesses in East Germany relative to the western part of the country. The case of East Germany forms an interesting subject because while its convergence process after unification began promisingly in the first half of the 1990s, convergence has since slowed down. The existing gap can now be traced mainly to structural weaknesses in the East German economy, such as the absence of strong industrial cluster structures. With this in mind, we investigate whether East Germany does in fact reveal the abovementioned structural weaknesses. Does East Germany possess fewer industrial clusters? Are they less connected? Does East Germany lack specific clusters that are also important for the non-clustered part of the economy?
Read article
Eine europäische Post-Transformationsregion auf dem Weg zur Integration: Wirtschaftliche Lage und Perspektiven im deutsch-polnisch-tschechischen Dreiländereck
Gerhard Heimpold
I. Roch, J. Banse, H. Leimbrock, J. Mathey (Hrsg.): Transformationsprozesse und Entwicklungsperspektiven im Dreiländereck Deutschland - Polen - Tschechien. IÖR Schriften Band 70, Rhombos-Verlag: Berlin,
2016
Abstract
Der Beitrag untersucht vergleichend die wirtschaftliche Leistungsfähigkeit der Regionen im deutsch-polnisch-tschechischen Dreiländereck, für die sich die nach dem EU-Beitritt Polens und Tschechiens neue Entwicklungschancen ergeben haben. Der Beitrag zeigt Handlungsbedarfe, um noch besser wirtschaftlichen Nutzen von der Grenzöffnung zu ziehen.
Read article
FDI, Human Capital and Income Convergence — Evidence for European Regions
Björn Jindra, Philipp Marek, Dominik Völlmecke
Economic Systems,
No. 2,
2016
Abstract
This study examines income convergence in regional GDP per capita for a sample of 269 regions within the European Union (EU) between 2003 and 2010. We use an endogenous broad capital model based on foreign direct investment (FDI) induced agglomeration economies and human capital. By applying a Markov chain approach to a new dataset that exploits micro-aggregated sub-national FDI statistics, the analysis provides insights into regional income growth dynamics within the EU. Our results indicate a weak process of overall income convergence across EU regions. This does not apply to the dynamics within Central and East European countries (CEECs), where we find indications of a poverty trap. In contrast to FDI, regional human capital seems to be associated with higher income levels. However, we identify a positive interaction of FDI and human capital in their relation with income growth dynamics.
Read article
Identifying the Effects of Place-based Policies – Causal Evidence from Germany
Matthias Brachert, Eva Dettmann, Mirko Titze
IWH Discussion Papers,
No. 18,
2016
Abstract
The German government provides discretionary investment grants to structurally weak regions to reduce regional disparities. We use a regression discontinuity design that exploits an exogenous discrete jump in the probability of receiving investment grants to identify the causal effects of the investment grant on regional outcomes. We find positive effects for regional gross value-added and productivity growth, but no effects for employment and gross wage growth.
Read article
Vierteljährliche Konjunkturberichterstattung für das Land Sachsen-Anhalt - Die gesamtwirtschaftliche Lage im 4. Quartal 2015 -
Hans-Ulrich Brautzsch, Franziska Exß, Brigitte Loose
IWH Online,
No. 1,
2016
Abstract
Die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktion in Sachsen-Anhalt hat nach den indikatorgestützten Schätzungen des IWH im vierten Quartal des Jahres 2015 um 0,3% zugenommen, nachdem sie im Quartal zuvor zurückgegangen war. Damit dürfte die Expansion im vierten Quartal 2015 in etwa mit der in Deutschland in Gleichklang gewesen sein.
Read article