The use of unit values in estimating trade-related capital flight -The case of CEE countries with special focus on Russia
Hubert Gabrisch, Karin Szalai
IWH Discussion Papers,
Nr. 161,
2002
Abstract
Artikel Lesen
Are the Central and Eastern European Transition Countries still vulnerable to an Financial Crisis? Results from the Signals Approach
Axel Brüggemann, Thomas Linne
IWH Discussion Papers,
Nr. 157,
2002
Abstract
The aim of the paper is to analyse the vulnerability of the Central and Eastern European accession countries to the EU as well as that of Turkey and Russia to a financial crisis. Our methodology is an extension of the signals approach. We develop a composite indicator to measure the evolution of the risk potential in each country. Our findings show that crises in Central and Eastern Europe are caused by much the usual suspects as in others emerging markets. In particular an overvalued exchange rate, weak exports and dwindling currency reserves have good predictive power for assessing crisis vulnerabilities.
Artikel Lesen
Bankruptcy in Russia: A Never-Ending-Story
Thomas Linne
IWH Discussion Papers,
Nr. 134,
2001
Abstract
Artikel Lesen
Financial crisis and problems yet to solve - conference proceedings
IWH-Sonderhefte,
Nr. 6,
2000
Abstract
Since the beginning of 1997, a currency and/or banking crisis broke out in several transition countries (Bulgaria, Romania, the Czech Republic, Russia, Ukraine). In 1995, Hungary avoided a financial crisis by adjusting properly her macroeconomic policies. Financial markets in transition countries are still small. They gain, however, more and more importance for the entire economy. Part of the countries mentioned are candidates for EU membership. They have to show their ability to stabilize their exchange rates and financial sectors. The fact that overcoming the financial crisis in Asia and Latin America required international assistance (e.g. IMF) underlines the political importance of strategies of preventing such crises in the EU's immediate neighborhood.
Artikel Lesen
What happened to Russia? Comments on Vladislav Semenkov ,August ’98 as a Turning Point of Russian Reforms
Thomas Linne
Externe Publikationen,
2000
Abstract
Artikel Lesen