Entrepreneurship, Innovation, and Productivity Growth

The research group “Entrepreneurship, Innovation, and Productivity Growth” tackles a broad set of research topics that are of relevance for our understanding of patterns of innovation and productivity growth and explores implications for workers and firms. Areas of particular focus include the decline in business dynamism, the growth in automation, entrepreneurship and innovation, and supply chains. The work is empirical in focus, it is grounded in microeconomic data research, but seeks to understand relevant macroeconomic trends. 

Workpackage 1: Business Dynamism

The last decade has seen the explosion of research on business dynamism largely as a result of the development of new comprehensive firm and establishment level micro datasets. In this workpackage we exploit existing CompNet data to understand patterns of business dynamism in Europe. 

In particular this subgroup seeks to explain the role of technological change and market power. The team documents the decline in young firm activity and reallocation, and estimates models that assess the causes and impacts on productivity growth (with Matthias Mertens, Sergio Inferrara, and Filippo Biondi).

Workpackage 2: Entrepreneurship

Going back to the days of Schumpeter, economists understand the important role entrepreneurs play in modern capitalist economies. This workpackage sets up a collaboration with the ZEW to develop a new data infrastructure and explore entrepreneurship in Germany broadly. Areas of research include: 

a. Entrepreneurship and Firm Performance: Understanding High Growth Firms.

b. Innovative Firms and the Diffusion of Technology

c. (Im)Migration, Entrepreneurship and Regional Development 

Workpackage 3: Automation

The introduction of robots and automation technologies in the workplace are fundamentally altering the balance of tasks and skills that are in demand. At the same time automation technologies increase the productivity of the workers and firms that make use of them relative to those that do not and can potentially lead to winners and losers. In this workpackage we conduct research on robot automation and its impacts on workers and firms. We focus our research both in Germany and the U.S.. 

The research group makes use of various administrative and survey datasets from a variety of sources and countries.  

IWH Data Project: CompNet Database

The Competitiveness Research Network (CompNet) is a research network founded in 2012 to foster the debate on competitiveness issues among partner institutions and researchers. It aims at providing a robust theoretical and empirical link between micro-level drivers of competitiveness and macroeconomic performance for research and policy analysis purposes. 

CompNet is funded by various European institutions, including among others: European Bank of Reconstruction and Development (EBRD); European Central Bank (ECB); European Commission (EC); European Investment Bank (EIB); European Stability Mechanism (ESM); France Stratégie; German Council of Economic Experts, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH); German Federal Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate Action (BMWK); Tinbergen Institute (TI). CompNet is advised by leading researchers in the field of firm performance and has created a European micro-aggregated industry- and country-level database on indicators of firm- and country-level competitiveness and performance. 

The database is unique in terms of its coverage and contents, particularly as, although being aggregated, it contains rich information on firm heterogeneity (i.e., distributional characteristics, like standard deviations and various percentiles of the firm distributions) across a large set of countries and industries in Europe. Among others, key variables included in the database are indicators of firm productivity, market power, firms’ financial situation, trade, and firm dynamics.

Research Cluster
Productivity and Institutions

Your contact

Professor Javier Miranda, PhD
Professor Javier Miranda, PhD
- Department Centre for Business and Productivity Dynamics, Cbpd
Send Message +49 345 7753-750

Refereed Publications

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Business Dynamics Statistics of High Tech Industries

Nathan Goldschlag Javier Miranda

in: Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, No. 1, 2020

Abstract

Modern market economies are characterized by the reallocation of resources from less productive, less valuable activities to more productive, more valuable ones. Businesses in the High Tech sector play a particularly important role in this reallocation by introducing new products and services that impact the entire economy. In this paper we describe an extension to the Census Bureau’s Business Dynamics Statistics that tracks job creation, job destruction, startups, and exits by firm and establishment characteristics, including sector, firm age, and firm size in the High Tech sector. We preview the resulting statistics, showing the structural shifts in the High Tech sector over the past 30 years, including the surge of entry and young firm activity in the 1990s that reversed abruptly in the early‐2000s.

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Measuring Job Creation, Growth, and Survival among the Universe of Start-ups in the United States Using a Combined Start-up Panel Data Set

Robert W. Fairlie Javier Miranda Nikolas Zolas

in: ILR Review, No. 5, 2019

Abstract

The field of entrepreneurship is growing rapidly and expanding into new areas. This article presents a new compilation of administrative panel data on the universe of business start-ups in the United States, which will be useful for future research in entrepreneurship. To create the US start-up panel data set, the authors link the universe of non-employer firms to the universe of employer firms in the Longitudinal Business Database (LBD). Start-up cohorts of more than five million new businesses per year, which create roughly three million jobs, can be tracked over time. To illustrate the potential of the new start-up panel data set for future research, the authors provide descriptive statistics for a few examples of research topics using a representative start-up cohort.

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Taken by Storm: Business Financing and Survival in the Aftermath of Hurricane Katrina

Emek Basker Javier Miranda

in: Journal of Economic Geography, No. 6, 2018

Abstract

We use Hurricane Katrina’s damage to the Mississippi coast in 2005 as a natural experiment to study business survival in the aftermath of a capital-destruction shock. We find very low survival rates for businesses that incurred physical damage, particularly for small firms and less-productive establishments. Conditional on survival, larger and more-productive businesses that rebuilt their operations hired more workers than their smaller and less-productive counterparts. Auxiliary evidence from the Survey of Business Owners suggests that the differential size effect is tied to the presence of financial constraints, pointing to a socially inefficient level of exits and to distortions of allocative efficiency in response to this negative shock. Over time, the size advantage disappeared and market mechanisms seem to prevail.

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Business Dynamics of Innovating Firms: Linking U.S. Patents with Administrative Data on Workers and Firms

Stuart Graham Cheryl Grim Tariqul Islam Alan Marco Javier Miranda

in: Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, No. 3, 2018

Abstract

This paper discusses the construction of a new longitudinal database tracking inventors and patent-owning firms over time. We match granted patents between 2000 and 2011 to administrative databases of firms and workers housed at the U.S. Census Bureau. We use inventor information in addition to the patent assignee firm name to improve on previous efforts linking patents to firms. The triangulated database allows us to maximize match rates and provide validation for a large fraction of matches. In this paper, we describe the construction of the database and explore basic features of the data. We find patenting firms, particularly young patenting firms, disproportionally contribute jobs to the U.S. economy. We find that patenting is a relatively rare event among small firms but that most patenting firms are nevertheless small, and that patenting is not as rare an event for the youngest firms compared to the oldest firms. Although manufacturing firms are more likely to patent than firms in other sectors, we find that most patenting firms are in the services and wholesale sectors. These new data are a product of collaboration within the U.S. Department of Commerce, between the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

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Declining Dynamism, Allocative Efficiency, and the Productivity Slowdown

Ryan A. Decker John Haltiwanger Ron S. Jarmin Javier Miranda

in: American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, No. 5, 2017

Abstract

A large literature documents declining measures of business dynamism including high-growth young firm activity and job reallocation. A distinct literature describes a slowdown in the pace of aggregate labor productivity growth. We relate these patterns by studying changes in productivity growth from the late 1990s to the mid 2000s using firm-level data. We find that diminished allocative efficiency gains can account for the productivity slowdown in a manner that interacts with the within-firm productivity growth distribution. The evidence suggests that the decline in dynamism is reason for concern and sheds light on debates about the causes of slowing productivity growth.

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Working Papers

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Credit Card Entrepreneurs

Ufuk Akcigit Raman Chhina Seyit Cilasun Javier Miranda Nicolas Serrano-Velarde

in: IWH Discussion Papers, No. 5, 2025

Abstract

<p>Utilizing near real-time QuickBooks data from over 1.6 million small businesses and a targeted survey, this paper highlights the critical role credit card financing plays for small business activity. We examine a two year period beginning in January of 2021. A turbulent period during which, credit card usage by small U.S. businesses nearly doubled, interest payments rose by 60%, and delinquencies reached 2.8%. We find, first, monthly credit card payments were up to three times higher than loan payments during this time. Second, we use targeted surveys of these small businesses to establish credit cards as a key financing source in response to firm-level shocks, such as uncertain cash flows and overdue invoices. Third, we establish the importance of credit cards as an important financial transmission mechanism. Following the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes in early 2022, banks cut credit card supply, leading to a 15.75% drop in balances and a 10% decline in revenue growth, as well as a 1.5% decrease in employment growth among U.S. small businesses. These higher rates also rendered interest payments unsustainable for many, contributing to half of the observed increase in delinquencies. Lastly, a simple heterogeneous firm model with a cash-in-hand constraint illustrates the significant macroeconomic impact of credit card financing on small business activity.</p>

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Reassessing EU Comparative Advantage: The Role of Technology

Filippo di Mauro Marco Matani Gianmarco Ottaviano

in: IWH Discussion Papers, No. 26, 2024

Abstract

<p>Based on the sufficient statistics approach developed by Huang and Ottaviano (2024), we show how the state of technology of European industries relative to the rest of the world can be empirically assessed in a way that is simple in terms of computation, parsimonious in terms of data requirements, but still comprehensive in terms of information. The lack of systematic cross-industry correlation between export specialization and technological advantage suggests that standard measures of revealed comparative advantage only imperfectly capture a country’s technological prowess due to the concurrent influences of factor prices, market size, markups, firm selection and market share reallocation.</p>

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From Labor to Intermediates: Firm Growth, Input Substitution, and Monopsony

Matthias Mertens Benjamin Schoefer

in: IWH Discussion Papers, No. 24, 2024

Abstract

<p>We document and dissect a new stylized fact about firm growth: the shift from labor to intermediate inputs. This shift occurs in input quantities, cost and output shares, and output elasticities. We establish this fact using German firm-level data and replicate it in administrative firm data from 11 additional countries. We also document these patterns in micro-aggregated industry data for 20 European countries (and, with respect to industry cost shares, for the US). We rationalize this novel regularity within a parsimonious model featuring (i) an elasticity of substitution between intermediates and labor that exceeds unity, and (ii) an increasing shadow price of labor relative to intermediates, due to monopsony power over labor or labor adjustment costs. The shift from labor to intermediates accounts for one half to one third of the decline in the labor share in growing firms (the remainder is due to wage markdowns and markups) and rationalizes most of the labor share decline in growing industries.</p>

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Declining Job Reallocation in Europe: The Role of Shocks, Market Power, and Technology

Filippo Biondi Sergio Inferrera Matthias Mertens Javier Miranda

in: IWH Discussion Papers, No. 19, 2023

Abstract

<p>We study changes in job reallocation in Europe after 2000 using novel microaggregated data that we collected for 19 European countries. In all countries, we document broad-based declines in job reallocation rates that concern most economic sectors and size classes. These declines are mainly driven by dynamics within sectors, size, and age classes rather than by compositional changes. Simultaneously, employment shares of young firms decline. Consistent with US evidence, firms’ employment has become less responsive to productivity shocks. However, the dispersion of firms’ productivity shocks has decreased too. To enhance our understanding of these patterns, we derive and apply a firm-level framework that relates changes in firms’ market power, labor market imperfections, and production technology to firms’ responsiveness and job reallocation. Using German firm-level data, we find that changes in markups and labor output elasticities, rather than adjustment costs, are key in rationalizing declining responsiveness.</p>

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Intuit QuickBooks Small Business Index: A New Employment Series for the US, Canada, and the UK

Ufuk Akcigit Raman Chhina Seyit Cilasun Javier Miranda Eren Ocakverdi Nicolas Serrano-Velarde

in: IWH Discussion Papers, No. 9, 2023

Abstract

Small and young businesses are essential for job creation, innovation, and economic growth. Even most of the superstar firms start their business life small and then grow over time. Small firms have less internal resources, which makes them more fragile and sensitive to macroeconomic conditions. This suggests the need for frequent and real-time monitoring of the small business sector’s health. Previously this was difficult due to a lack of appropriate data. This paper fills this important gap by developing a new Intuit QuickBooks Small Business Index that focuses on the smallest of small businesses with at most 9 workers in the US and the UK and at most 19 workers in Canada. The Index aggregates a sample of anonymous Quick- Books Online Payroll subscriber data (QBO Payroll sample) from 333,000 businesses in the US, 66,000 in Canada, and 25,000 in the UK. After comparing the QBO Payroll sample data to the official statistics, we remove the seasonal components and use a Flexible Least Squares method to calibrate the QBO Payroll sample data against official statistics. Finally, we use the estimated model and the QBO Payroll sample data to generate a near real-time index of economic activity. We show that the estimated model performs well both in-sample and out-of-sample. Additionally, we use this analysis for different regions and industries. Keywords:

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