28.09.2023 • 24/2023
Joint Economic Forecast 2/2023: Purchasing power returns ‒ political uncertainty high
According to the Joint Economic Forecast, Germany's gross domestic product declines by 0.6% in 2023. This is a strong downward revision of 0.9 percentage points from the forecast made in spring 2023. "The most important reason for this revision is that industry and private consumption are recovering more slowly than we expected in spring," says Oliver Holtemöller, Vice President and Head of the Macroeconomics Department at the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
Oliver Holtemöller
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IWH-DPE Call for Applications – Fall 2024 Intake
IWH-DPE Call for Applications About the IWH Doctoral Programme in Economics The IWH Doctoral Programme in Economics (IWH-DPE) is a rigorous structured four-year PhD programme with…
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Study Programme
Study Programme The course programme is a structured curriculum that provides doctoral students with an outstanding training. The programme comprises mandatory First-Year Courses…
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Lecturers
Lecturers at CGDE Institutions Jordan Adamson Assistant Professor at Institute for Empirical Economic Research, Leipzig University. Website Course: Econometrics (winter term…
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Department Profiles
Research Profiles of the IWH Departments All doctoral students are allocated to one of the four research departments (Financial Markets – Laws, Regulations and Factor Markets –…
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Productivity
Productivity: More with Less by Better Available resources are scarce. To sustain our society's income and living standards in a world with ecological and demographic change, we…
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IWH-Flash-Indikator III. und IV. Quartal 2023
Katja Heinisch, Oliver Holtemöller, Axel Lindner, Birgit Schultz
IWH-Flash-Indikator,
No. 3,
2023
Abstract
Im zweiten Quartal 2023 stagnierte die Wirtschaftsleistung in Deutschland. Die Konsumausgaben der privaten Haushalte konnten sich nach den deutlichen Rückgängen in den beiden Vorquartalen stabilisieren. Dazu dürfte wohl auch die sich in den vergangenen Monaten abschwächende Inflation beigetragen haben. Die Sorgen der Unternehmen stiegen hingegen weiter deutlich: So setzt das Gemisch aus hohen Energiepreisen, geopolitischen und regulatorischen Risiken, gestiegenen Zinsen und Fachkräftemangel vor allem das Verarbeitende Gewerbe kräftig unter Druck. Die damit verbundenen Anpassungen lassen eine konjunkturelle Besserung erst Ende des Jahres 2023 möglich erscheinen. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt (BIP) dürfte daher laut IWH-Flash-Indikator im dritten Quartal 2023 um 0,3% sinken. Im vierten Quartal beträgt der Zuwachs dann gemäß Indikator 0,5% (vgl. Abbildung 1).
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Internships
Internship at Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Interested in gaining an authentic insight in the interesting daily business and the variable tasks of an institute for…
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Teaching
Teaching Within the framework of its cooperations with both German and foreign universities IWH researchers are actively committed to teaching by offering academic courses. These…
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Info Graphs Sometimes pictures say more than a thousand words. Therefore, we selected a few graphs to present our main topics visually. If you should have any questions or would…
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