06.10.2020 • 19/2020
IWH Bankruptcy Update: Bankruptcies Stabilise at a Low Level; Number of Affected Jobs Remains High
The number of companies declaring bankruptcy in Germany was very low in September, and no significant increase is expected in the coming months. By contrast, the number of jobs impacted by corporate bankruptcies remained elevated in September; monthly layoff figures have increased significantly since the beginning of the year. These are the key findings of the IWH Bankruptcy Update, a monthly monitor of insolvency statistics published by the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
Steffen Müller
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07.09.2020 • 17/2020
IWH Bankruptcy Update: Bankruptcies Hit New Low; New Outlook Feature
The number of companies reporting bankruptcy in Germany sank to a new low in August. Associated job losses also declined noticeably, following marked increases in prior months. Published by the Halle Institute for Economic Research, the IWH Bankruptcy Update provides monthly statistics on corporate bankruptcies in Germany. Starting this month, the update will also feature a two-month outlook.
Steffen Müller
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Identifying Cooperation for Innovation―a Comparison of Data Sources
Michael Fritsch, Mirko Titze, Matthias Piontek
Industry and Innovation,
No. 6,
2020
Abstract
The value of social network analysis is critically dependent on the comprehensive and reliable identification of actors and their relationships. We compare regional knowledge networks based on different types of data sources, namely, co-patents, co-publications, and publicly subsidized collaborative R&D projects. Moreover, by combining these three data sources, we construct a multilayer network that provides a comprehensive picture of intraregional interactions. By comparing the networks based on the data sources, we address the problems of coverage and selection bias. We observe that using only one data source leads to a severe underestimation of regional knowledge interactions, especially those of private sector firms and independent researchers.
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06.08.2020 • 15/2020
IWH Bankruptcy Update: Number of Employees Affected by Bankruptcy Continues to Rise in Germany
In July, more than three times as many jobs were impacted by corporate bankruptcies in Germany in comparison to the monthly averages from early 2020. The July figure was also significantly higher in relation to the previous month. By contrast, the number of bankruptcies fell slightly. These are the main findings of the most recent IWH Bankruptcy Update published by the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), which provides monthly reports on German bankruptcies.
Steffen Müller
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Why Is there Resistance to Works Councils In Germany? An Economic Perspective
Steffen Müller, Jens Stegmaier
Economic and Industrial Democracy,
No. 3,
2020
Abstract
Recent empirical research generally finds evidence of positive economic effects for works councils, for example with regard to productivity and – with some limitations – to profits. This makes it necessary to explain why employers’ associations have reservations about works councils. On the basis of an in-depth literature analysis, this article shows that beyond the generally positive findings, there are important heterogeneities in the impact of works councils. The authors argue that those groups of employers that tend to benefit little from employee participation in terms of productivity and profits may well be important enough to shape the agenda of their employers’ organization and have even gained in importance within their organizations in recent years. The authors also discuss the role of deviations from profit-maximizing behavior like risk aversion, short-term profit-maximization and other non-pecuniary motives, as possible reasons for employer resistance.
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06.07.2020 • 13/2020
IWH issues warning of a new banking crisis
The coronavirus recession could mean the end for dozens of banks across Germany – even if Germany survives the economic crisis relatively unscathed. An analysis by the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) shows that many savings banks and cooperative banks are particularly at risk. Loans worth hundreds of billions of euros are on the balance sheets of the financial institutions concerned. IWH President Gropp warns of a potentially high additional burden for the already weakened real economy.
Reint E. Gropp
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The Corona Recession and Bank Stress in Germany
Reint E. Gropp, Michael Koetter, William McShane
IWH Online,
No. 4,
2020
Abstract
We conduct stress tests for a large sample of German banks across different recoveries from the Corona recession. We find that, depending on how quickly the economy recovers, between 6% to 28% of banks could become distressed from defaulting corporate borrowers alone. Many of these banks are likely to require regulatory intervention or may even fail. Even in our most optimistic scenario, bank capital ratios decline by nearly 24%. The sum of total loans held by distressed banks could plausibly range from 127 to 624 billion Euros and it may take years before the full extent of this stress is observable. Hence, the current recession could result in an acute contraction in lending to the real economy, thereby worsening the current recession , decelerating the recovery, or perhaps even causing a “double dip” recession. Additionally, we show that the corporate portfolio of savings and cooperative banks is more than five times as exposed to small firms as that of commercial banks and Landesbanken. The preliminary evidence indicates small firms are particularly exposed to the current crisis, which implies that cooperative and savings banks are at especially high risk of becoming distressed. Given that the financial difficulties may seriously impair the recovery from the Covid-19 crisis, the pressure to bail out large parts of the banking system will be strong. Recent research suggests that the long run benefits of largely resisting these pressures may be high and could result in a more efficient economy.
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03.07.2020 • 12/2020
IWH Bankruptcy Update: Much more jobs affected by corporate bankruptcy in Germany
The number of corporate bankruptcies declines but, compared to the beginning of the year, the number of affected employees per month recently doubled. This is the latest insight from the IWH Bankruptcy Update provided monthly by the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
Steffen Müller
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Citizen Science jenseits von MINT – Bürgerforschung in den Geistes‐ und Sozialwissenschaften
Claudia Göbel, Justus Henke, Sylvi Mauermeister, Verena Plümpe
HoF Arbeitsberichte Heft 114,
2020
Abstract
Citizen Science im Bereich der Geistes‐ und Sozialwissenschaften – Social Citizen Science (SCS) – ist ein bislang wenig untersuchter Teilbereich bürgerwissenschaftlicher Aktivitäten. Eine ihrer Besonderheiten ist, dass sie gerade aufgrund ihrer Nähe zur Alltagswelt schwer objektivierbare Beobachtungen verarbeitet. Fragen der Sicherstellung wissenschaftlicher Qualität und der Partizipationsfähigkeit stellen sich mithin auf andere Weise als in naturwissenschaftlich geprägter Citizen Science. Die vorliegende Studie legt hierzu erstmals Daten vor. Es zeigt sich eine große Diversität empirischer Zugänge und Traditionen in SCS. Hervorzuheben ist, dass sich unter den SCS‐Aktivitäten gleichermaßen inner‐ als auch außerakademisch initiierte und geleitete befinden. Damit ist die eingeladene Partizipation durch Wissenschaftseinrichtungen nicht als das allgemeine Referenzmodell für SCS anzusehen, sondern gleichwertig mit uneingeladener Partizipation aus der Zivilgesellschaft heraus. Für SCS‐Vorhaben geht es daher weniger um die Herstellung von „Partizipationsfähigkeit“ von Laien an Forschungsprozessen, sondern vielmehr von „Zusammenarbeitsfähigkeit“ diverser inner‐ und außerakademischer Akteure.
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Is Social Capital Associated with Corporate Innovation? Evidence from Publicly Listed Firms in the U.S.
Iftekhar Hasan, Chun-Keung (Stan) Hoi, Qiang Wu, Hao Zhang
Journal of Corporate Finance,
June
2020
Abstract
We find that social capital in U.S. counties, as captured by strength of social norms and density of social networks, is positively associated with innovation of firms headquartered in the county, as captured by patents and citations. This relation is robust in fixed-effect regressions, instrumental variable regressions with a Bartik instrument, propensity score matching regressions, and a difference-in-differences design that isolates the effects of over time variations in social capital due to corporate headquarter relocations. Strength of social norms plays a more dominant role than density of social networks in producing these empirical regularities. Cross-sectional evidence indicates the prominence of the contracting channel through which social capital relates to innovation. Additionally, we find that social capital is also positively associated with trademarks and effectiveness of corporate R&D expenditures.
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